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April 3, 2013

48

2007-08 Precon Championships: Make Your Predictions!

by Dredd77

Greetings and welcome to the first prediction thread for the 2007-2008 Preconstructed Championships! As has become an Ertai’s Lament tradition, we’re running the Prediction League alongside the Championships to give you, the reader, a chance to test your predictive skills in a field of preconstructed combat. On the line is fame, glory, and- perhaps best of all- fabulous prizes!

This season we’ve more than doubled the size of the war chest the winner will be walking away with. Whomever has the most points at the end of the competition will be scoring a copy of Duel Decks: Sorin vs Tibalt, a Dragon’s Maze Fat Pack, a surprise Theme Deck from the ’70-’08 season, and a $30 gift certificate to Jimi’s Magic superstore, Mind Games, Ltd. A rich reward for a hard-fought battle!

As is custom, we’ve divided the contestants randomly into the four divisions of the two conferences, and as always we begin with the Rosewater Conference’s uppermost division, the Nagle.

Nagle 1

For this first week of matches, we’ll be looking at Games 1, 2, and 3- all of the exciting opening-round action. Then next week we’ll play out the remaining three matches to declare a winner for the Nagle Division, before moving on to the next. Because there were only twenty-six precon decks printed in this season, we have a few byes sprinkled about. As a result, there will be a few less matches to predict, making each one you do have even more crucial!

If you’re looking to participate in our Prediction League for your shot at the prize package, all you need to do is reply to this thread and let us know who you think will win the three games coming up this weekend. We’ll accept predictions right up to when the first-round results are posted, which will be some time this Sunday. To help you in your decisions, here’s a brief look at this week’s contenders.

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Elvish Predation

Colours: Black, Green

Set: Lorwyn

Rares: Immaculate Magistrate, Nath of the Gilt-Leaf

Detail: Although the Elves are one of the game’s most popular tribes, we found ourselves a little underwhelmed by this two-colour construction. There was tremendous tribal synergy going on, but a lot of bookkeeping and on-board complexity made games sometimes feel a bit like math homework. That said, these games aren’t won on fun factor but on power and consistency, and Elvish Predation has no shortage of either. (Reviews: deck, play)

PW Symbol

Elves

Colours: Green

Set: Duel Decks: Elves vs Goblins

Rares: Ambush Commander, Allosaurus Rider, Slate of Ancestry, Voice of the Woods

Detail: What do you get when you mix cards from the first tribal block (Onslaught) in with those of the second (Lorwyn)? With a larger pool of cards to choose from, this inaugural Duel Decks release was a harbinger of the successes to come. Although it lacks access to Black for pinpoint lethality, it packs in twice as many rare cards to make up for it. (Reviews: deck, play)

PW Symbol

Arcanis’s Guile

Colours: Blue

Set: Tenth Edition

Rares: Arcanis the Omnipotent, Denizen of the Deep

Detail: The Core Set decks tend to be something of a joker in the deck every Championship. Although of humbler origins than the other, more flashy options, there seems to be a Cinderella story in at least one of them that’s good for a round or two. Will this be the year we see a breakout performance? Guile is a mono-Blue deck with plenty of control, heavy card drawing, and some fat closers- will it be enough? (Reviews: not available)

PW Symbol

Sidestep

Colours: Blue, Red

Set: Eventide

Rares: Dominus of Fealty, Mindwrack Liege

Detail: An aggressive deck packed with lots of nifty tricks, Sidestep excels at throwing curveballs at an opponent. Whether it be surprise evasion, creature thieving, or power/toughness tricks, nothing is quite what it seems! (Reviews: not available)

PW Symbol

Aura Mastery

Colours: White, Blue

Set: Shadowmoor

Rares: Thistledown Liege, Twilight Shepherd

Detail: Although we frequently see a “grow-your-own-beater” deck in the Championships that relies on auras to make mundane creatures into forces to be reckoned with, Aura Mastery takes this one step further by making auras and enchantments of all kinds its central theme. The strength of auras has long been tempered by its susceptibility to removal, but in the removal-light preconstructed environment anything goes! (Reviews: not available)

PW Symbol

Evincar’s Tyrrany

Colours: Black

Set: Tenth Edition

Rares: Ascendant Evincar, Mortivore

Detail: This deck has a little bit of everything that we identify with the colour Black, from kill spells to discard effects and- yes- to somewhat inefficient creatures that try and offset their cost with evasion or utility. Crovax was a force to be feared both before and after the curse took hold of him, will this deck do him justice? (Reviews: not available)

PW Symbol

Warrior’s Code

Colours: Red, Green

Set: Morningtide

Rares: Boldwyn Heavyweights, Unstoppable Ash

Detail: Where Lorwyn went race tribal, Morningtide added the new dimension of class! This deck packs in Warriors and the cards that love them, we found it strong on synergy if a bit weak in the burn department. (Reviews: deck, play)

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And there you have it! Seven decks enter, and by this Sunday three of them will have fallen in battle. Don’t forget to leave your predictions in the comments below, and perhaps some comments explaining your choices if you’d like. Best of luck to all!

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48 Comments Post a comment
  1. Game 1: Elves duel deck
    Game 2: Sidestep
    Game 3: Aura mastery

    Reply
  2. Varo
    Apr 3 2013

    My first batch of predictions:

    Game 1: Elves (DD:EvG)
    Game 2: Sidestep (EVE)
    Game 3: Aura mastery (SHM)

    Good luck to everyone!

    Reply
  3. Apr 3 2013

    Maybe not the most likely to win, but these are the decks I would love to see pull off a victory.

    Game 1: Elvish Predation
    Game 2: Sidestep
    Game 3: Evincar’s Tyranny

    Reply
  4. Apr 3 2013

    Game 1: Elves duel deck
    Game 2: Sidestep
    Game 3: Aura mastery

    Good luck!

    Reply
  5. Apr 3 2013

    Predictions ahoy! G1 goes to the Duel Decks version of Elves. G2 goes to Sidestep, and G3 goes to Aura Mastery…

    Reply
  6. Apr 3 2013

    Game 1: Elves (DD:EvG)
    Game 2: Sidestep (EVE)
    Game 3: Aura mastery (SHM)

    Reply
  7. Darksamus
    Apr 3 2013

    Game 1: Elvish Predation.
    Game 2: Sidestep.
    Game 3: Aura Mastery.

    Reply
  8. Anthony
    Apr 3 2013

    Game 1: Elves (DD: EvG)
    Game 2: Sidestep
    Game 3: Aura Mastery

    Thanks!

    Reply
  9. Grue
    Apr 3 2013

    Game 1: Elves (DD: EvG)
    Game 2: Sidestep (EVE)
    Game 3: Evincar’s Tyranny

    Reply
  10. Desmond B
    Apr 3 2013

    Game 1: Elvish Predation
    Game 2: Sidestep
    Game 3: Evincar’s Tyrrany

    Good luck to all.

    Reply
  11. Jenesis
    Apr 3 2013

    Game 1 Elves (Duel Deck)
    Game 2 Sidestep (EVE)
    Game 3 Aura Mastery (SHM)

    Reply
  12. mcc1701
    Apr 3 2013

    Elves(DD)
    Sidestep
    Aura Mastery

    Those are my predictions

    Reply
  13. Ari
    Apr 3 2013

    Game 1:elves dd
    Game 2: sidestep
    Game 3 aura mastery

    Reply
  14. 1 Elves
    2 Sidestep

    3 Aura Mastery

    Reply
  15. Billy
    Apr 3 2013

    Game 1: Elvish Predation
    Game 2: Sidestep
    Game 3: Aura Mastery

    Reply
  16. Jay Chong
    Apr 3 2013

    Game one: Elves – Has everything the opposition has, plus the elves from Onslaught that count all elves in play (wellwisher, timberwatch elf and heedless one). In short, elves will being using elvish predation to power its own army. The “pinpoint lethality” of Elvish predation isn’t even a factor since the two removal spells Elvish Predation has, eyeblight’s ending, don’t even work in this matchup.

    Being a mono-color deck against a dual color deck, Elves doesn’t even have the drawback of color screw. In this matchup, Elves carries all the advantages except one: prowess of the fair. But the chances of a singleton showing up every game is outweighed by everything else.

    Game 2: Sidestep

    Game 3: Evincar’s Tyranny

    Reply
  17. Apr 3 2013

    1. I’m actually a little unsure here, but I think Elves has more consistency and more power, so I’ll go with Elves.
    2. Sidestep. No real contest.
    3. Aura Mastery. Access to two colors, plus Thistledown Liege and general consistency.

    Reply
  18. Brad Hall
    Apr 3 2013

    Game 1: Elves
    Game 2: Sidestep
    Game 3: Aura Mastery

    Reply
  19. Zack
    Apr 3 2013

    Game 1: Elves
    Game 2: Arcanis’s Guile
    Game 3: Aura Mastery

    Game 4: Warrior’s Code… I get credit for getting this one right, right?

    Reply
  20. tenthtechpriest
    Apr 4 2013

    game 1: elvish predation
    game 2: sidestep
    game 3: Aura Mastery

    Reply
  21. Louis
    Apr 4 2013

    Game 1: Elves (DD)
    Game 2: Sidestep
    Game 3: Aura Mastery

    Reply
  22. Morten Dall
    Apr 4 2013

    Game 1: Elves (DD)
    Game 2: Sidestep
    Game 3: Aura Mastery

    My experience is that duel decks tend to perform very well against theme/intro decks. I think the first one will be close, but that the spriinkle of black won’t do much for Elvish Predation. For game 2, I think Sidestep will be able to make so many tricks that it will sweep the victory. Even if the Denizen of the Deep is landed, Sidestep might just steal it away. For the final match, I’m torn. Evincar’s tyranny might bulldoze the defenses, but I fear it is trying to be too many things if there’s both discard and kill spells. It will be interesting to see!

    Reply
  23. Icehawk
    Apr 4 2013

    Game 1: Elves EvG. My elf deck is based off the DotP print deck. Elves are like slivers that it seems like at times every other elf is a Lord. Mono-Green Elves are a beast. I like Nath. He’s my Elf Commander, but… They both pack 2 Perfects. They both run quite a few nice cards. I almost want to go with Predation just to buck the trend, but Elves just packs more “it.”

    Game 2: Sidestep. As the Doctor might say, “Tricks are cool.”

    Game 3: Evincar’s Tyrrany.

    Game 4: I’m going with Bye. It’s taking on quite a few decks and seems like it’s the underdog.

    Reply
  24. SilverBrood
    Apr 4 2013

    Elves, Sidestep, Auras

    Reply
  25. Diennea
    Apr 4 2013

    1) Elves. More good cards and mono color.
    2) Sidestep. Ok, I love this deck, I’m guilty.
    3) Aura Mastery. I don’t give much credit to core set decks.

    Reply
  26. 4fun
    Apr 4 2013

    1. Elves (DD)
    2. Sidestep
    3. Auras

    Reply
  27. Ruaranicus
    Apr 4 2013

    Really more guesses than predictions, but here goes…
    1) DD Elves, just seems like a better deck than the intro pack.
    2) Sidestep.
    3) Aura Mastery – both of the Shadowmoor decks look much more consistent than the 10E ones, although I’ve no experience with any of the cards in either.

    Reply
  28. atomsk.7
    Apr 4 2013

    Game 1: Elves (DD)
    Game 2: Sidestep
    Game 3: Evincar’s Tyrrany.

    Reply
  29. ChrisBro.55
    Apr 4 2013

    Going against the general consensus here:
    G1: Elvish Predation
    G2: Sidestep
    G3:Evincar’s Tyranny

    Reply
  30. Jon S
    Apr 4 2013

    Game 1:Elves-Duel Decks: Elves vs Goblins
    Game 2:Sidstep
    Game 3:Warrior’s Code

    Reply
  31. Jon S
    Apr 4 2013

    Whopps Strike taht(I misread the bracket) This is my entry

    Game 1:Elves-Duel Decks: Elves vs Goblins
    Game 2:Sidstep
    Game 3:Evincar’s Tyrrany

    Reply
  32. errtu
    Apr 4 2013

    1. Elves (DD)
    2. Sidestep
    3. Aura Mastery

    Reply
  33. Apr 5 2013

    1. Elves (duel decks)
    2. Sidestep
    3. Evincar’s Tyranny

    Reply
  34. Agh, I always second-guess myself later, but here goes…

    1. Elves (DD)
    2. Sidestep
    3. Evincar’s Tyranny

    Reply
  35. servant of yawgmoth
    Apr 5 2013

    elves DD
    sidestep
    aura mastery

    Reply
  36. Apr 5 2013

    1: Elves (DD)
    2: Sidestep
    3: Evincar’s Tyranny

    Reply
  37. Elves
    Arcanis’s Guile
    Aura Mastery

    Reply
  38. Tony
    Apr 6 2013

    1. Elves
    2. Sidestep
    3. Aura Mastery
    4. Warriors Code

    Reply
  39. spheniscine
    Apr 6 2013

    1. Elves (Duel Deck), 2. Sidestep, 3. Aura Mastery

    Reply
  40. Apr 6 2013

    Game 1: Elves (DD)
    Game 2: Sidestep
    Game 3: Aura Mastery

    Reply
  41. Yawgmoth
    Apr 6 2013

    Game 1: Elves (DD)
    Game 2: Sidestep (EVE)
    Game 3: Evincar’s Tyrrany (10E)

    Reply
  42. I think these are the most likely winners:

    Game 1: Elves (DD:EvG)
    Game 2: Sidestep (EVE)
    Game 3: Aura Mastery (SHM)

    In the last two cases, I just don’t see a Core Set precon winning!

    Reply
  43. Blake Leighton
    Apr 6 2013

    Game 1: Elves (DD)
    Game 2: Sidestep
    Game 3: Aura Mastery

    Reply
  44. Athena
    Apr 6 2013

    1. Elves (Duel Deck)
    2. Sidestep (EVE)
    3. Aura Mastery (SHM)

    Reply
  45. Karnival
    Apr 6 2013

    G1. Elves (Duel Deck), G2. Sidestep, G3. Aura Mastery

    Reply
  46. Sparky
    Apr 6 2013

    1) Elvish Predation
    2) Arcanis’s Guile
    3) Aura Mastery

    Reply
  47. Apr 6 2013

    1.) Elves, it just has more opportunities to make something amazing happen.
    2.) Sidestep. When the choice rare is Denizen of the Deep, it’s time to consider yourself defeated.
    3.) Three Steel of the Godheads?! ‘Nuff said.

    Reply
  48. 1. Elves
    2. Sidestep
    3. Aura Mastery
    4. Warriors Code

    Reply

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