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March 13, 2012

33

2005-07 Precon Championships: Round 2 and the Leaderboard

by Dredd77

Welcome back to our ongoing coverage of the 2005-07 Preconstructed Championships! We’ve had a spirited opening week, with some surprising results- and even a touch of controversy! Eight decks took to the field, and already we’ve seen four sent home in defeat.

In our opening match, the combat-tested weenies of Charge of the Boros just couldn’t manage to stand up to Hope’s Crusaders. The Boros had a few natural disadvantages in this matchup that proved telling. Said stric9, “Charge of the Boros is going to dismantle itself against Hope’s Crusaders with that radiance effect working against it.” Willis Terry was more succinct: “Flanking beats weenies.” Most predictors nailed this one as Hope’s Crusaders stormed to victory.

The second matchup- Unraveling Mind vs Simic Mutology– was almost as universally picked. tenthtechpriest went right to the heart of the matter, declaring “decent removal > graft.” He also mentioned graft’s natural card disadvantage as a reason he opted against the Ravnican guild in favour of the madness deck, and his faith was not misplaced.

Things were going smoothly until the third pairing. Less than half of the predictors thought that Izzet Gizmometry had what it took, but it manufactured a surprising upset. Surprising- and controversial. Abusing replicate to power up Wee Dragonauts, the referee failed to catch the fact that replicated spells don’t interact with the Dragonauts, and that the bonus given was overinflated. Varo qoted the rulebook, while Tony summed it up to us a bit more simply: “Dragonauts do not count the replicated spells, just the spells cast, so in this case they would only get their bonus once.” This referee error only impacted the first game, where the Izzet had already stabilised the board state and were eking out the win, but it raises an important point. Whether it be on the field on on the table, mistakes do happen- the best play goes unnoticed, a rule is interpreted wrongly, someone loses a game they might have won. It doesn’t happen often, but any pro will tell you that even they make mistakes in Magic with surprising frequency. And even when the results are heartbreaking- like Thierry Henry’s devastating uncalled handball against Ireland– well, all you can do is set your shoulders, summon up grim determination and soldier on. It isn’t pleasant, but it’s part of the game. The Izzet advance.

The final match split our predictors almost evenly down the middle. It was heartening to see 9th Edition’s World Aflame deck garner some votes of confidence, even if Core Set decks are generally regarded as weaker options. The land-smashing mono-Red deck came close to realising its dreams after a dominating game-one performance, but struggled to cast its spells in the last two games. We can sum it up no better than Yawgmoth, who said, “And so ends a brief, beautiful glimpse back at the Golden Age of Land Destruction! Bitter irony indeed that so lean a deck as “World Aflame” missed its own land drops.” Well put!

After the first round, here’s the Prediction League leaderboard:

If you missed a few this week, don’t be disheartened- there’s still plenty more games ahead. It takes thirty games to decide a winner (1 less than normal thanks to a bye). If you’re just joining us, don’t hesitate to jump right in- last season a couple of late-joiners contended right to the end!

Now for the Next Round

Here are the next round’s matches. Please note your pick for each of the first two matches, and then for the final match to determine the overall Nagle Division winner. The results go up this coming Saturday, so you have until then to tender your selections!

Three points are up for grabs- good luck, everyone!

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33 Comments Post a comment
  1. Scorium
    Mar 13 2012

    Game 17: I’ll be a even match, but the better consistency of Hope’s crusaders will be enough.
    Game 18: If Endless March can’t get a good hand, things will look dire, but I think that Izzet’s useless counterspells will be cluttering his hand while some 1/1s bite him. Then a Calciderm will appear and Izzet will have to surrender.
    Game 25: Listening to my heart rather than my mind, I foresee that Endless March will win against the Crusaders.

    Reply
  2. Mar 13 2012

    Unravelling mind
    Gizometry
    Unravelling mind probably will be the winner

    Reply
  3. Mar 13 2012

    Game 17: As much as I love flanking, I’m voting for Unraveling Mind.
    Game 18: Izzet Gizmometry.
    Game 25: Unraveling Mind.

    Reply
  4. d00n
    Mar 13 2012

    Game 17: Flanking makes combat annoying so Hopefully Hope’s Crusaders wins with Calvary Master being the Flanking Lord.

    Game 18: Endless March. Izzet will durdle and I mean… when Endless March lands some creatures, what is Izzet going to do? Bounce them?

    Game 25: Endless March wins with Soltari Shadow, Scary Dust and super-useful Pro-Black Knight token off of a Suspended Riftmarked Knight. Easy choices to pump with Brute Force and/or ghetto-Berserk.

    Reply
  5. Jay Chong
    Mar 13 2012

    Unraveling Mind
    Izzet Gizmometry
    Unraveling Mind

    Reply
  6. Tony
    Mar 13 2012

    Unraveling Mind is one of the few theme decks that I own that can take on the incredible power level of a Lorwyn block precon. I have witnessed amazing wins with this deck but have also seen horrid defeats thanks to bad draws. That being said, Hopes Crusaders looks like a really tough deck to beat, but my heart is with Unraveling Mind

    17. Unraveling Mind
    18. Endless March (That gating mechanic looks really fun. I need to get this deck)
    25. Unraveling Mind

    Reply
  7. Willis Terry
    Mar 13 2012

    Unraveling Mind – Flanking does little on larger dudes, plus little removal
    Izzet Gizmometry – I have to root for my favorite color pair, even though it does seem weak against recursion.
    Izzet for 25 as well. Taking out the engines will slow Madness down.

    Reply
  8. Grue
    Mar 14 2012

    Game 17 – Hope’s Crusaders
    Game 18 – Izzet Gizmometry
    Game 25 – Izzet Gizmometry

    Reply
  9. stric9
    Mar 14 2012

    Unraveling Mind
    Endless March
    Unraveling Mind will win the division.
    I really have a hard time thinking Izzet is an effective deck that can make it further. It looks like I’m in the minority though.

    Reply
  10. Jenesis
    Mar 14 2012

    Game 17 – Hope’s Crusaders
    Game 18 – Endless March
    Game 25 – Endless March

    Reply
  11. Varo
    Mar 14 2012

    Here are my votes this time:

    Game 17: – Unraveling Mind (PLC)
    Game 18: – Endless March (PLC)
    Game 25: – Unraveling Mind (PLC)

    Reply
  12. Diennea
    Mar 14 2012

    game 17: Unraveling Mind. I love both Unraveling Mind and Hope’s Crusaders but I just see my UM (only slightly modified) won against 2 costructed deck at the same time 😀
    game 18: Endless March. I just guess this one.
    game 25:Unraveling Mind. Go Mirri!

    Reply
  13. Doomed_Traveler
    Mar 14 2012

    Game 17 – Hope’s Crusaders
    Game 18 – Endless March
    Game 25 – Endless March

    Reply
  14. Icehawk
    Mar 14 2012

    Mind.
    March.
    Mind overall.

    I just don’t see flanking, as an interesting ability as it is, doing it for Crusaders. An unraveling mind tends to be more dangrous than a calvary charge. Assuming, one does not slip onto one’s own lava axe. Ouch.

    All the matches will be close for sure. Izzet won’t make it to the final round I’m sure of. March vs Mind will be a toss up, but I’m giong with my gut and say Mind.

    Reply
  15. fillip
    Mar 14 2012

    17. Unraveling Mind
    18. Endless March
    19 Unraveling Mind

    Reply
  16. tenthtechpriest
    Mar 14 2012

    17: hope’s cruasders
    18: Izzet Gizometry
    25: Izzet Gizometry

    I have a heavy izzet bias, sue me.

    Reply
  17. Zack
    Mar 14 2012

    Game 17: Unravelling Mind
    Game 18: Izzet Gizmometry

    Game 25: Izzet Gizmometry

    Reply
  18. Ezra Trachtman
    Mar 14 2012

    game 1: Unraveling Mind. this one looks like a its going to be a very interesting game, but my tonsils tells me to its going to go to the incredibly insane and not to mention mad planes walker in the red and black ( and Mirri is awesome)

    game 2: Endless March. Izzet any good, I think so (plus it always helps that I like both R/W decks and Gate deck)

    game 3: Unraveling Mind. this is going to be a very interesting game so I would not be surprised if Endless March won but I’m going to take a lap with this one and choose IT ( who says insaneity need get a bad rap so please would you drive your opponent crazy as crazy as you)

    Reply
  19. Jacopo Sassi
    Mar 15 2012

    17) Unraveling Mind (the flexibility of the madness keyword and the lack of a decent removal suite in Hope’s crusaders give it a serious advantage, in my opinion)

    18) Endless March (Izzet’s unsummoning spells actually reward March’s gating creatures, plus their lack of beaters is going to be relevant this time, since the Dragonauts won’t receive the “replicate” benefit)

    25) Unraveling Mind (tough call, but I have the feeling that Unraveling packs the biggest punch in this division)

    Reply
  20. Montesque
    Mar 15 2012

    Game 17: Unraveling Mind
    Game 18: Izzet Gizmometry
    Game 25: Unraveling Mind

    Reply
  21. thewachman
    Mar 15 2012

    Hope
    Izzet
    with Izzet winning.

    Reply
  22. ddaroo
    Mar 15 2012

    Looks like I got pretty lucky last round. Hope I keep it up.

    I’m going with:
    Game 17: Unraveling Mind
    Game 18: Endless March
    Game 25: Unraveling Mind

    Reply
  23. Jonster
    Mar 15 2012

    Missed round 1 so I’m hoping to make up the difference. Predictions here:
    Hopes crusader for game 17
    Endless March for Game 18
    Final has Hopes Crusader barely passing by Endless March in three.

    Reply
  24. Yawgmoth
    Mar 15 2012

    Very glad to see you deemed my comment a fitting eulogy for “World Aflame.” Thanks!
    Now, regarding predictions…
    Game 17: Unraveling Mind (PLC)
    Game 18: Endless March (PLC)
    Game 25: Unraveling Mind (PLC)

    Reply
  25. Athena
    Mar 15 2012

    17 – Hope’s Crusaders
    18 – Endless March
    25 – Endless March

    Reply
  26. Kyle Mueting
    Mar 16 2012

    17 Hope’s Crusadors
    18 Endless March
    25 Endless March
    #MarchMadness

    Reply
  27. Kleber
    Mar 16 2012

    Game 17 – Hope’s Crusaders
    Game 18 – Endless March
    Game 25 – Hope’s Crusaders

    Reply
  28. Helmuth Goetz
    Mar 16 2012

    game 1: Unraveling Minds
    game 2: Endless March
    game 3: Unraveling Minds

    Reply
  29. Galzon
    Mar 16 2012

    17. Unravelling Mind
    18. Izzet Gizmometry
    25. Unravelling Mind

    Reply
  30. Blaven_blave
    Mar 16 2012

    Game17: Unravelling Mind
    Game18: Endless march
    Game 25: Unravelling Mind

    Reply
  31. gobias
    Mar 16 2012

    17. Unraveling Mind
    18. Endless March
    25. Unraveling Mind

    Reply
  32. servent of yawgmoth
    Mar 17 2012

    HOPES CRUSADERS

    ENDLESS MARCH

    ENDLESS MARCH

    Reply
  33. Aaro
    Mar 17 2012

    I’m completely conflicted here, but I’m going to go with…

    Unraveling Mind
    Endless March
    Endless March wins the division.

    Reply

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