2005-07 Precon Championships: Round 2 and the Leaderboard

Welcome back to our ongoing coverage of the 2005-07 Preconstructed Championships! We’ve had a spirited opening week, with some surprising results- and even a touch of controversy! Eight decks took to the field, and already we’ve seen four sent home in defeat.
In our opening match, the combat-tested weenies of Charge of the Boros just couldn’t manage to stand up to Hope’s Crusaders. The Boros had a few natural disadvantages in this matchup that proved telling. Said stric9, “Charge of the Boros is going to dismantle itself against Hope’s Crusaders with that radiance effect working against it.” Willis Terry was more succinct: “Flanking beats weenies.” Most predictors nailed this one as Hope’s Crusaders stormed to victory.
The second matchup- Unraveling Mind vs Simic Mutology– was almost as universally picked. tenthtechpriest went right to the heart of the matter, declaring “decent removal > graft.” He also mentioned graft’s natural card disadvantage as a reason he opted against the Ravnican guild in favour of the madness deck, and his faith was not misplaced.
Things were going smoothly until the third pairing. Less than half of the predictors thought that Izzet Gizmometry had what it took, but it manufactured a surprising upset. Surprising- and controversial. Abusing replicate to power up Wee Dragonauts, the referee failed to catch the fact that replicated spells don’t interact with the Dragonauts, and that the bonus given was overinflated. Varo qoted the rulebook, while Tony summed it up to us a bit more simply: “Dragonauts do not count the replicated spells, just the spells cast, so in this case they would only get their bonus once.” This referee error only impacted the first game, where the Izzet had already stabilised the board state and were eking out the win, but it raises an important point. Whether it be on the field on on the table, mistakes do happen- the best play goes unnoticed, a rule is interpreted wrongly, someone loses a game they might have won. It doesn’t happen often, but any pro will tell you that even they make mistakes in Magic with surprising frequency. And even when the results are heartbreaking- like Thierry Henry’s devastating uncalled handball against Ireland– well, all you can do is set your shoulders, summon up grim determination and soldier on. It isn’t pleasant, but it’s part of the game. The Izzet advance.
The final match split our predictors almost evenly down the middle. It was heartening to see 9th Edition’s World Aflame deck garner some votes of confidence, even if Core Set decks are generally regarded as weaker options. The land-smashing mono-Red deck came close to realising its dreams after a dominating game-one performance, but struggled to cast its spells in the last two games. We can sum it up no better than Yawgmoth, who said, “And so ends a brief, beautiful glimpse back at the Golden Age of Land Destruction! Bitter irony indeed that so lean a deck as “World Aflame” missed its own land drops.” Well put!
After the first round, here’s the Prediction League leaderboard:
If you missed a few this week, don’t be disheartened- there’s still plenty more games ahead. It takes thirty games to decide a winner (1 less than normal thanks to a bye). If you’re just joining us, don’t hesitate to jump right in- last season a couple of late-joiners contended right to the end!
Now for the Next Round
Here are the next round’s matches. Please note your pick for each of the first two matches, and then for the final match to determine the overall Nagle Division winner. The results go up this coming Saturday, so you have until then to tender your selections!
Three points are up for grabs- good luck, everyone!
Game 17: I’ll be a even match, but the better consistency of Hope’s crusaders will be enough.
Game 18: If Endless March can’t get a good hand, things will look dire, but I think that Izzet’s useless counterspells will be cluttering his hand while some 1/1s bite him. Then a Calciderm will appear and Izzet will have to surrender.
Game 25: Listening to my heart rather than my mind, I foresee that Endless March will win against the Crusaders.
Unravelling mind
Gizometry
Unravelling mind probably will be the winner
Game 17: As much as I love flanking, I’m voting for Unraveling Mind.
Game 18: Izzet Gizmometry.
Game 25: Unraveling Mind.
Game 17: Flanking makes combat annoying so Hopefully Hope’s Crusaders wins with Calvary Master being the Flanking Lord.
Game 18: Endless March. Izzet will durdle and I mean… when Endless March lands some creatures, what is Izzet going to do? Bounce them?
Game 25: Endless March wins with Soltari Shadow, Scary Dust and super-useful Pro-Black Knight token off of a Suspended Riftmarked Knight. Easy choices to pump with Brute Force and/or ghetto-Berserk.
Unraveling Mind
Izzet Gizmometry
Unraveling Mind
Unraveling Mind is one of the few theme decks that I own that can take on the incredible power level of a Lorwyn block precon. I have witnessed amazing wins with this deck but have also seen horrid defeats thanks to bad draws. That being said, Hopes Crusaders looks like a really tough deck to beat, but my heart is with Unraveling Mind
17. Unraveling Mind
18. Endless March (That gating mechanic looks really fun. I need to get this deck)
25. Unraveling Mind
Unraveling Mind – Flanking does little on larger dudes, plus little removal
Izzet Gizmometry – I have to root for my favorite color pair, even though it does seem weak against recursion.
Izzet for 25 as well. Taking out the engines will slow Madness down.
Game 17 – Hope’s Crusaders
Game 18 – Izzet Gizmometry
Game 25 – Izzet Gizmometry
Unraveling Mind
Endless March
Unraveling Mind will win the division.
I really have a hard time thinking Izzet is an effective deck that can make it further. It looks like I’m in the minority though.
Game 17 – Hope’s Crusaders
Game 18 – Endless March
Game 25 – Endless March
Here are my votes this time:
Game 17: – Unraveling Mind (PLC)
Game 18: – Endless March (PLC)
Game 25: – Unraveling Mind (PLC)
game 17: Unraveling Mind. I love both Unraveling Mind and Hope’s Crusaders but I just see my UM (only slightly modified) won against 2 costructed deck at the same time 😀
game 18: Endless March. I just guess this one.
game 25:Unraveling Mind. Go Mirri!
Game 17 – Hope’s Crusaders
Game 18 – Endless March
Game 25 – Endless March
Mind.
March.
Mind overall.
I just don’t see flanking, as an interesting ability as it is, doing it for Crusaders. An unraveling mind tends to be more dangrous than a calvary charge. Assuming, one does not slip onto one’s own lava axe. Ouch.
All the matches will be close for sure. Izzet won’t make it to the final round I’m sure of. March vs Mind will be a toss up, but I’m giong with my gut and say Mind.
17. Unraveling Mind
18. Endless March
19 Unraveling Mind
17: hope’s cruasders
18: Izzet Gizometry
25: Izzet Gizometry
I have a heavy izzet bias, sue me.
Game 17: Unravelling Mind
Game 18: Izzet Gizmometry
Game 25: Izzet Gizmometry
game 1: Unraveling Mind. this one looks like a its going to be a very interesting game, but my tonsils tells me to its going to go to the incredibly insane and not to mention mad planes walker in the red and black ( and Mirri is awesome)
game 2: Endless March. Izzet any good, I think so (plus it always helps that I like both R/W decks and Gate deck)
game 3: Unraveling Mind. this is going to be a very interesting game so I would not be surprised if Endless March won but I’m going to take a lap with this one and choose IT ( who says insaneity need get a bad rap so please would you drive your opponent crazy as crazy as you)
17) Unraveling Mind (the flexibility of the madness keyword and the lack of a decent removal suite in Hope’s crusaders give it a serious advantage, in my opinion)
18) Endless March (Izzet’s unsummoning spells actually reward March’s gating creatures, plus their lack of beaters is going to be relevant this time, since the Dragonauts won’t receive the “replicate” benefit)
25) Unraveling Mind (tough call, but I have the feeling that Unraveling packs the biggest punch in this division)
Game 17: Unraveling Mind
Game 18: Izzet Gizmometry
Game 25: Unraveling Mind
Hope
Izzet
with Izzet winning.
Looks like I got pretty lucky last round. Hope I keep it up.
I’m going with:
Game 17: Unraveling Mind
Game 18: Endless March
Game 25: Unraveling Mind
Missed round 1 so I’m hoping to make up the difference. Predictions here:
Hopes crusader for game 17
Endless March for Game 18
Final has Hopes Crusader barely passing by Endless March in three.
Very glad to see you deemed my comment a fitting eulogy for “World Aflame.” Thanks!
Now, regarding predictions…
Game 17: Unraveling Mind (PLC)
Game 18: Endless March (PLC)
Game 25: Unraveling Mind (PLC)
17 – Hope’s Crusaders
18 – Endless March
25 – Endless March
17 Hope’s Crusadors
18 Endless March
25 Endless March
#MarchMadness
Game 17 – Hope’s Crusaders
Game 18 – Endless March
Game 25 – Hope’s Crusaders
game 1: Unraveling Minds
game 2: Endless March
game 3: Unraveling Minds
17. Unravelling Mind
18. Izzet Gizmometry
25. Unravelling Mind
Game17: Unravelling Mind
Game18: Endless march
Game 25: Unravelling Mind
17. Unraveling Mind
18. Endless March
25. Unraveling Mind
HOPES CRUSADERS
ENDLESS MARCH
ENDLESS MARCH
I’m completely conflicted here, but I’m going to go with…
Unraveling Mind
Endless March
Endless March wins the division.